{"id":1590,"date":"2024-10-11T04:16:05","date_gmt":"2024-10-11T04:16:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/?p=1590"},"modified":"2025-10-25T02:36:25","modified_gmt":"2025-10-25T02:36:25","slug":"russias-war-on-ukraine-how-does-this-end","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/2024\/10\/11\/russias-war-on-ukraine-how-does-this-end\/","title":{"rendered":"Russia\u2019s War on Ukraine: How Does This End?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\nCenter for Policy Studies Public Affairs Discussion Group – Russia\u2019s War on Ukraine: How Does This End? With Stephen Crowley, Ph.D., Professor of Politics and Chair of Russian, East European and Eurasian Studies, Oberlin College<\/title><\/p>\n<table align=\"center\" width=\"640\" style=\"padding:3px\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"702\" align=\"center\" valign=\"top\" style=\"margin: -1.9px 2px 2px 2px;padding:5px\">\n<table style=\"padding:px\" align=\"center\" width=\"637\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"629\" colspan=\"3\" valign=\"top\" bgcolor=\"#ffffff\" style=\"margin: 2px 2px 2px 2px;text-align: center;font-size: 12px\">\n<p style=\"width: 100%;text-align: left;margin: 3px 0px 0px;font-size: 24px\"><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/artscimedia.case.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/238\/2024\/06\/07135207\/cas_logo_newsletters2.jpg\" alt=\"CAS\" longdesc=\"http:\/\/policy.case.edu\" height=\"100\" width=\"328\"><br \/><strong><font face=\"Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif\" color=\"#0a304e\">Center for Policy Studies<br \/>Public Affairs Discussion Group<\/font><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<table>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\" valign=\"top\" bgcolor=\"#ffffff\" style=\"margin: -4px -4px -4px -4px;text-align: center;font-size: 0px\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<table style=\"margin: -1.9px 2px 2px 2px\" align=\"center\" width=\"640\">\n<tr>\n<td width=\"502\" valign=\"top\" style=\"padding: 3px\">\n<table width=\"627\">\n<tr>\n<td width=\"98%\" height=\"33\" align=\"left\" valign=\"top\" style=\"margin: 0px 2px 2px 2px;font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: 24px;padding: 1px\"><strong><font color=\"#0a304e\">Russia\u2019s War on Ukraine: How Does This End?<\/font><\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<table width=\"627\">\n<tr>\n<td width=\"70%\" align=\"left\" valign=\"top\" style=\"margin: 0px 2px 2px 2px;font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;padding: 2px\"><img align=\"left\" src=\"https:\/\/artscimedia.case.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/238\/2025\/10\/25021805\/crowley_stephen.jpg\" hspace=\"3\"><\/p>\n<p> <font color=\"#0a304e\"><strong>Stephen Crowley, Ph.D. – Professor of Politics and Chair of Russian, East European and Eurasian Studies, Oberlin College<\/strong><\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<table>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"70%\" valign=\"top\" bgcolor=\"FFFFFF\" style=\"margin: 2px 2px 2px 2px;font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;padding: 2px\"><font color=\"#0a304e\"><strong>Friday October 11, 2024<br \/>\n\t12:30-1:30 p.m.<br \/>Meeting Both In-Person and by Zoom<br \/>\nDampeer Room, Second Floor of Kelvin Smith Library<\/strong><\/font><font size=\"3\" color=\"#990000\"><strong>*<\/strong><\/font><br \/>\n<font color=\"#0a304e\"><strong>Case Western Reserve University<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#0a304e\">Dear Colleagues:<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#0a304e\"><strong>Deep into its third year, with winter approaching, Russia\u2019s war on Ukraine appears to be tilting in Russia\u2019s favor.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\tIn the Donbas, some argue, Ukraine appears to be pursuing a strategy of<\/font> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/10\/05\/world\/europe\/ukraine-donbas-strategy-russia-war.html?searchResultPosition=2\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><font color=\"#0a304e\"><u>slow retreat<\/u><\/font><\/a> <font color=\"#0a304e\">designed to maximize Russia\u2019s costs. Russian has ramped up<\/font> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/09\/30\/world\/europe\/russia-attacks-east-ukraine-kursk.html?searchResultPosition=6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><font color=\"#0a304e\"><u>\u201cpunishing air assaults\u201d<\/u><\/font><\/a> <font color=\"#0a304e\">on Ukrainian cities far from the front lines. In spite of Ukraine\u2019s brave resistance and some western support, Russia all along has had huge advantages: it is much larger and the war is fought on Ukraine\u2019s soil. Ukraine\u2019s efforts to redress the imbalance with<\/font> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/08\/16\/world\/europe\/ukraine-russia-kursk-incursion.html?searchResultPosition=21\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><font color=\"#0a304e\"><u>incursions into Russia<\/u><\/font><\/a> <font color=\"#0a304e\">do not seem to have accomplished much. Russia plans to increase its<\/font> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/09\/30\/world\/europe\/russia-defense-budget-ukraine-war.html?searchResultPosition=9\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><font color=\"#0a304e\"><u>military budget<\/u><\/font><\/a> <font color=\"#0a304e\">by 25 percent next year.<\/p>\n<p>\tMeanwhile, of course, if Donald Trump regains the presidency, Ukraine will be faced with an<\/font> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/10\/05\/us\/politics\/trump-putin-ukraine.html?searchResultPosition=8\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><font color=\"#0a304e\"><u>enemy in the White House<\/u><\/font><\/a> <font color=\"#0a304e\">as well.<\/p>\n<p>But can Putin really hope to fully conquer Ukraine? Can NATO give support that will reverse the trends on the ground? Even if it does, could that possibly allow Ukraine to recapture the land it has lost? Are Ukraine and Russia now at the point where each country\u2019s leaders can imagine a settlement? Could that possibly be stable?<\/p>\n<p>In March of 2022, Steve Crowley joined with our Roman Sheremata to discuss \u201cRussia\u2019s Invasion of Ukraine: What is Putin Thinking?\u201d In April of 2023 Steve spoke with us about \u201cRussia\u2019s War on Ukraine: Where Is It Headed?\u201d He joins us by Zoom to ask the logical next question. We will have our usual gathering in the Dampeer Room for those who want to talk with each other and enjoy goodies, and on Zoom for all others.<\/p>\n<p>Best wishes for safety and security for you and yours,<\/p>\n<p> Joe White<br \/>\n Luxenberg Family Professor of Public Policy and Director, Center for Policy Studies<\/font>\n <\/p>\n<hr width=\"100%\" style=\"padding:0px\" \/>\n<h3><font color=\"#0a304e\">About Our Guest<\/font><\/h3>\n<p><font color=\"#0a304e\"><strong>Stephen Crowley<\/strong> is Professor in the Department of Politics, Oberlin College. He is a scholar of the politics of Russia, Eurasia and Eastern Europe, with a focus on labor and the political economy of postcommunist transformations. His teaching centers on Russia and Eastern Europe, peace and conflict studies, revolutions, and globalization.<\/p>\n<p>Recent research has focused on the impact of economic sanctions on Russian society, and the potential for social and economic protest as a result. Another current research project is entitled “Deindustrialization and the Populist Challenge: Comparing East and West,” examining political outcomes in four rust-belt communities in the US, UK, Poland and Russia.<\/p>\n<p>Crowley has been a Fellow at the Woodrow Wilson Center for International Scholars, a Visiting Scholar at George Washington University’s Institute for European, Russian and Eurasian Studies, at the Aleksanteri Institute at the University of Helsinki, at the Institute for Advanced Study at the University of Bologna, and at the Collegium Budapest\/Institute for Advanced Study.<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<table>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\" valign=\"top\" bgcolor=\"#ffffff\" style=\"margin: -4px -4px -4px -4px;text-align: center;font-size: 0px\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<table style=\"margin: -4px 2px 2px 2px;padding: 0px\" align=\"center\" width=\"640\">\n<tr>\n<td style=\"margin-top: 0px;padding: 0px;font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: 14px\">\n<p align=\"center\"> Visit the <a href=\"http:\/\/fridaylunch.case.edu\"><font color=\"#004480\">Public Affairs Discussion Group Web Site.<\/font><\/a><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"> Center for Policy Studies | Mather House<br \/>\n 111 | 11201 Euclid Avenue |<br \/>\n Cleveland, Ohio 44106-7109 | Phone: 216.368.6730 | <a href=\"mailto:padg@case.edu\"><font color=\"#004480\"><u>padg@case.edu<\/u><\/font><\/a> |<br \/>Part of the: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.case.edu\/artsci\"><font color=\"#004480\"><u>College of Arts and Sciences<\/u><\/font><\/a><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\">© 2024 Case Western Reserve University |<br \/> Cleveland, Ohio<br \/>\n 44106 | 216.368.2000 | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.case.edu\/legal.htm\"><font color=\"#004480\"><u>legal notice<\/u><\/font><\/a><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\nCenter for Policy Studies Public Affairs Discussion Group – Russia\u2019s War on Ukraine: How Does This End? With Stephen Crowley, Ph.D., Professor of Politics and Chair of Russian, East European and Eurasian Studies, Oberlin College<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 100%;text-align: left;margin: 3px 0px 0px;font-size: 24px\"><strong>Center for Policy StudiesPublic Affairs Discussion Group<\/strong><\/p>\n<p> <strong>Russia\u2019s War on Ukraine: How Does This End?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p> <strong>Stephen Crowley, Ph.D. – Professor of Politics and Chair of Russian, East European and Eurasian Studies, Oberlin College<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Friday October 11, 2024<br \/>\n\t12:30-1:30 p.m.Meeting Both In-Person and by Zoom<br \/>\nDampeer Room, Second Floor of Kelvin Smith Library<\/strong><strong>*<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>Case Western Reserve University<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Dear Colleagues:<\/p>\n<p><strong>Deep into its third year,<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/2024\/10\/11\/russias-war-on-ukraine-how-does-this-end\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading… <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Russia\u2019s War on Ukraine: How Does This End?<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":101,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1590"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/101"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1590"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1590\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1604,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1590\/revisions\/1604"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1590"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1590"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1590"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}