{"id":1613,"date":"2024-11-01T14:45:29","date_gmt":"2024-11-01T14:45:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/?p=1613"},"modified":"2025-10-26T02:08:06","modified_gmt":"2025-10-26T02:08:06","slug":"election-forecast-discussion-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/2024\/11\/01\/election-forecast-discussion-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Election Forecast Discussion"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n<title>Center for Policy Studies Public Affairs Discussion Group &#8211; Election Forecast Discussion. With Thomas Sutton, Ph.D., Interim Provost and Acting President, Baldwin-Wallace University.<\/title><\/p>\n<table align=\"center\" width=\"640\" style=\"padding:3px\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"702\" align=\"center\" valign=\"top\" style=\"margin: -1.9px 2px 2px 2px;padding:5px\">\n<table style=\"padding:px\" align=\"center\" width=\"637\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"629\" colspan=\"3\" valign=\"top\" bgcolor=\"#ffffff\" style=\"margin: 2px 2px 2px 2px;text-align: center;font-size: 12px\">\n<p style=\"width: 100%;text-align: left;margin:                      3px 0px 0px;font-size: 24px\"><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/artscimedia.case.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/238\/2024\/06\/07135207\/cas_logo_newsletters2.jpg\" alt=\"CAS\" longdesc=\"http:\/\/policy.case.edu\" height=\"100\" width=\"328\"><br \/><strong><font face=\"Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif\" color=\"#0a304e\">Center for Policy Studies<br \/>Public Affairs Discussion Group<\/font><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<table>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\" valign=\"top\" bgcolor=\"#ffffff\" style=\"margin: -4px -4px -4px -4px;text-align: center;font-size: 0px\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<table style=\"margin: -1.9px 2px 2px 2px\" align=\"center\" width=\"640\">\n<tr>\n<td width=\"502\" valign=\"top\" style=\"padding: 3px\">\n<table width=\"627\">\n<tr>\n<td width=\"98%\" height=\"33\" align=\"left\" valign=\"top\" style=\"margin: 0px 2px 2px 2px;font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: 24px;padding: 1px\"><strong><font color=\"#0a304e\">Election Forecast Discussion<\/font><\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<table width=\"627\">\n<tr>\n<td width=\"70%\" align=\"left\" valign=\"top\" style=\"margin: 0px 2px 2px 2px;font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;padding: 2px\"><img align=\"left\" src=\"https:\/\/artscimedia.case.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/238\/2024\/06\/09133721\/sutton_tom.jpg\" hspace=\"3\"><br \/><font color=\"#0a304e\"><strong>Thomas Sutton, Ph.D. &#8211; Interim Provost and Acting President, Baldwin-Wallace University<\/strong><\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<table>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"70%\" valign=\"top\" bgcolor=\"FFFFFF\" style=\"margin: 2px 2px 2px 2px;font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;padding: 2px\"><font color=\"#0a304e\"><strong>Friday November 1, 2024<br \/>\n\t12:30-1:30 p.m.<br \/>Meeting Both In-Person and by Zoom<\/strong><\/font><br \/>\n<strong><font color=\"#990000\">Alternate Room: Mather House 100<\/font><\/strong><br \/>\n<font color=\"#0a304e\"><strong>Case Western Reserve University<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#0a304e\">Dear Colleagues:<\/font><\/p>\n<p>\t<font color=\"#0a304e\"><strong>As is traditional, the \u201cFriday Lunch\u201d before just before the November election will focus on what most of us will be wondering about anyway: what\u2019s going to happen?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>We will be glad to welcome back our currently extremely busy local colleague, <strong>Tom Sutton<\/strong>, to share his expertise. As long-time director of Baldwin-Wallace\u2019s Community Research Institute, he joined us before the 2022 general election to share with us both his perspective and the Institute\u2019s polling. This year he will share his insights about the seemingly extremely close races for the presidency and for U.S. senator from Ohio, and I and maybe some colleagues will also report on what we can see about the campaigns for Ohio Supreme Court, for U.S. House of Representatives from Ohio, and for overall control of the U.S. House and Senate.<\/p>\n<p>I am especially grateful that Dr. Sutton is taking time from the demands of his other interim current responsibilities.<\/p>\n<p>Then next week we can discuss what went wrong with the forecasts! Or, perhaps, how the uncertainties that the speakers identified seem to have worked out.<\/p>\n<p>Best wishes for safety and security for you and yours,<\/p>\n<p>    Joe White<br \/>\n    Luxenberg Family Professor of Public Policy and Director, Center for Policy Studies<\/font>\n  <\/p>\n<hr width=\"100%\" style=\"padding:0px\" \/>\n<h3><font color=\"#0a304e\">About Our Guest<\/font><\/h3>\n<p><font color=\"#0a304e\"><strong>Dr. Thomas Sutton<\/strong> is a longtime, respected political science professor who has served in a range of leadership roles at Baldwin-Wallace University since arriving in 1998, including Interim Dean of Baldwin-Wallace University&#8217;s School of Humanities and Social Sciences and president of the Faculty Senate prior to being named Interim Provost in December 2023.<\/p>\n<p>Sutton served as chair of the political science department and held the Burton D. Morgan Chair in Entrepreneurial Studies from 2014-2021. In addition, he was director of Baldwin-Wallace University&#8217;s Community Research Institute, a successful center that engages students in applied research with local, regional and statewide nonprofit and government agencies.<\/p>\n<p>Sutton provides public opinion research results and expert analysis to a wide range of media outlets that rely on his expert voice to explain Ohio politics, government, public policy and more. His insights have regularly appeared in Cleveland media, and he has been featured in the <em>New York Times<\/em>, the <em>Wall Street Journal<\/em> and many more.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<table>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\" valign=\"top\" bgcolor=\"#ffffff\" style=\"margin: -4px -4px -4px -4px;text-align: center;font-size: 0px\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<table style=\"margin: -4px 2px 2px 2px;padding: 0px\" align=\"center\" width=\"640\">\n<tr>\n<td style=\"margin-top: 0px;padding: 0px;font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: 14px\">\n<p align=\"center\"> Visit the <a href=\"http:\/\/fridaylunch.case.edu\"><font color=\"#004480\">Public Affairs Discussion Group Web Site.<\/font><\/a><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"> Center for Policy Studies | Mather House<br \/>\n        111 | 11201 Euclid Avenue |<br \/>\n        Cleveland, Ohio 44106-7109 |&nbsp;Phone: 216.368.6730 |&nbsp;<a href=\"mailto:padg@case.edu\"><font color=\"#004480\"><u>padg@case.edu<\/u><\/font><\/a> |<br \/>Part of the:&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.case.edu\/artsci\"><font color=\"#004480\"><u>College of Arts and Sciences<\/u><\/font><\/a><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\">&copy; 2024 Case Western Reserve University |<br \/> Cleveland, Ohio<br \/>\n        44106 | 216.368.2000 |&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.case.edu\/legal.htm\"><font color=\"#004480\"><u>legal notice<\/u><\/font><\/a><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\nCenter for Policy Studies Public Affairs Discussion Group &#8211; Election Forecast Discussion. With Thomas Sutton, Ph.D., Interim Provost and Acting President, Baldwin-Wallace University.<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 100%;text-align: left;margin:                      3px 0px 0px;font-size: 24px\"><strong>Center for Policy StudiesPublic Affairs Discussion Group<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>                <strong>Election Forecast Discussion<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>                 <strong>Thomas Sutton, Ph.D. &#8211; Interim Provost and Acting President, Baldwin-Wallace University<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Friday November 1, 2024<br \/>\n\t12:30-1:30 p.m.Meeting Both In-Person and by Zoom<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>Alternate Room: Mather House 100<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>Case Western Reserve University<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Dear Colleagues:<\/p>\n<p>\t<strong>As is traditional, the \u201cFriday Lunch\u201d before just before the November election will focus on what most of us will be wondering about anyway: what\u2019s going to happen?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/2024\/11\/01\/election-forecast-discussion-2\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading&#8230; <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Election Forecast Discussion<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":101,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1613"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/101"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1613"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1613\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1627,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1613\/revisions\/1627"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1613"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1613"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1613"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}