{"id":211,"date":"2008-10-31T17:50:39","date_gmt":"2008-10-31T17:50:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/?p=211"},"modified":"2024-06-06T17:52:32","modified_gmt":"2024-06-06T17:52:32","slug":"election-forecasts-what-awaits-us-on-november-6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/2008\/10\/31\/election-forecasts-what-awaits-us-on-november-6\/","title":{"rendered":"ELECTION FORECASTS: WHAT AWAITS US ON NOVEMBER 6?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-212\" src=\"https:\/\/artscimedia.case.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/238\/2024\/06\/06175139\/BeckwithBookcase4.jpg\" alt=\"woman with bookcase\" width=\"128\" height=\"171\" \/><\/p>\n<h5>Karen Beckwith, Ph.D. &#8211; Flora Stone Mather Professor of Political Science<\/h5>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-213\" src=\"https:\/\/artscimedia.case.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/238\/2024\/06\/06175155\/buchler3.jpg\" alt=\"headshot\" width=\"100\" height=\"152\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Justin Buchler, Ph.D. &#8211; Assistant Professor of Political Science<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-214\" src=\"https:\/\/artscimedia.case.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/238\/2024\/06\/06175214\/lucker6.jpg\" alt=\"headshot\" width=\"100\" height=\"127\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Andrew M. Lucker, Ph.D.- Associate Director of the Center for Policy Studies and Adjunct Assistant Professor of Political Science<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h5>Friday October 31, 2008<br \/>\n12:30-1:30 p.m.<br \/>\nCrawford Hall &#8211; Room 9<br \/>\nInamori Center<br \/>\nCase Western Reserve University<\/h5>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Dear Colleagues,<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your chance to see how you&#8217;d do against some of the faculty if there were fantasy politics leagues like fantasy baseball.<\/p>\n<p>In our traditional pre-election Friday lunch discussion, Political Science department faculty will suggest what to watch for on election eve, make their predictions about the results, and comment on why it might happen and what it could mean.<\/p>\n<p>As usual, we will gather in Room 9 of the Inamori International Center for Ethics and Excellence, on the lower level of Crawford Hall, for free cookies, beverages, and brown bag lunch.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards,<br \/>\nJoe White<\/p>\n<hr width=\"96%\" \/>\n<h3>About Our Guests<\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/politicalscience.case.edu\/faculty\/beckwith\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Karen Beckwith<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0received her B.A. from the University of Kentucky (1972) and her M.A. and Ph.D. from Syracuse University (1977, 1982). Teaching primarily in the areas of US politics, political movements, and women, gender, and politics, she has special interests in the United States and West Europe, particularly Britain and Italy.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/politicalscience.case.edu\/faculty\/buchler\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Justin Buchler<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0studies elections, with an emphasis on legislative elections. His primary line of research is about the effects of competitive elections on political institutions. Contrary to conventional wisdom, he argues that competitive elections create perverse incentives for candidates, and produce unrepresentative election outcomes. Thus, he argues that competitive elections are actually bad for democracy. He has published several papers on this topic, and won the 2007 Gordon Tullock Prize for, The Social Sub-optimality of Competitive Elections, (published in Public Choice). His other papers on the topic focus on redistricting, and he is currently working on a book manuscript on competitive elections.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/politicalscience.case.edu\/faculty\/lucker\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Andrew Lucker&#8217;s<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0first book,\u00a0<em>V. O. Key Jr., The Quintessential Political Scientist<\/em>\u00a0(New York: Peter Lang Publishing, 2001) focused on an extensive examination of the work and life of one of the most important American political scientists of the twentieth century, V. O. Key, Jr. (1908-1963).\u00a0 The research is based on Key&#8217;s voluminous personal papers, interviews with his family, colleagues, and graduate students, plus thorough study of all of his published and unpublished writings, much of which is not readily accessible today. Dr. Lucker is currently researching a book on American polling pioneer Samuel Lubell.\u00a0 Dr. Lucker also recently completed a chapter on the Ohio legislative process for an edited book,\u00a0<em>Ohio Politics<\/em>, that was released in the fall of 2007.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<hr width=\"96%\" \/>\n<h3>Friday Lunch Upcoming Topics and Speakers:<\/h3>\n<h6 class=\"style7\"><\/h6>\n<h6 class=\"style7\"><\/h6>\n<h6 class=\"style7\"><strong>November 7:\u00a0<span class=\"style2\">Responding to the Foreclosure Crisis<\/span>\u00a0with Jim Rokakis, Cuyahoga County Treasurer.<\/strong><\/h6>\n<p><strong>November 14:\u00a0<\/strong><span class=\"style8\">Charging for Car Insurance by the Mile: Good Business and Good for Energy and the Environment?<\/span><strong>\u00a0With Richard Hutchinson, General Manager for the \u201cMy Rate\u201d program, Progressive Insurance.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>November 21: TBA<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>November 28: Thanksgiving Break<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>December 5: TBA<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The Friday Lunch discussions are held on the lower (ground) level of Crawford Hall.\u00a0 Visitors with mobility issues may find it easiest to take advantage of special arrangements we have made.\u00a0 On most Fridays, a few parking spaces in the V.I.P. lot in between Crawford Hall and Amasa Stone Chapel are held for participants in the lunch discussion.<\/p>\n<p>Visitors then can avoid walking up the hill to the first floor of Crawford by entering the building on the ground level, through the garage area under the building.\u00a0 The further door on the left in that garage will be left unlocked during the period before the Friday lunch.\u00a0 On occasion, parking will be unavailable because of other university events.<\/p>\n<p>For more information about these and other Center for Policy Studies programs, please see\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/policy.case.edu\/\">http:\/\/policy.case.edu<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Karen Beckwith, Ph.D. &#8211; Flora Stone Mather Professor of Political Science<br \/>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Justin Buchler, Ph.D. &#8211; Assistant Professor of Political Science<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Andrew M. Lucker, Ph.D.- Associate Director of the Center for Policy Studies and Adjunct Assistant Professor of Political Science<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<br \/>\nFriday October 31, 2008<br \/>\n12:30-1:30 p.m.<br \/>\nCrawford Hall &#8211; Room 9<br \/>\nInamori Center<br \/>\nCase Western Reserve University<br \/>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Dear Colleagues,<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your chance to see how you&#8217;d do against some of the faculty if there were fantasy politics leagues like fantasy baseball.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/2008\/10\/31\/election-forecasts-what-awaits-us-on-november-6\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading&#8230; <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">ELECTION FORECASTS: WHAT AWAITS US ON NOVEMBER 6?<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/211"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=211"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/211\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":215,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/211\/revisions\/215"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=211"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=211"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=211"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}