{"id":698,"date":"2015-11-06T12:49:18","date_gmt":"2015-11-06T12:49:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/?p=698"},"modified":"2024-06-07T12:49:50","modified_gmt":"2024-06-07T12:49:50","slug":"a-year-away-from-the-2016-election","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/2015\/11\/06\/a-year-away-from-the-2016-election\/","title":{"rendered":"A Year Away from the 2016 Election\u2026."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<table width=\"98%\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\" width=\"70%\">\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/policy.case.edu\/images\/herrnson_paul.jpg\" align=\"left\" hspace=\"3\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0a304e;\"><strong>Paul Herrnson, Ph.D. &#8211; Professor of Political Science at the University of Connecticut<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" bgcolor=\"FFFFFF\" width=\"70%\"><span style=\"color: #0a304e;\"><strong>Friday November 6, 2015<br \/>\n12:30-1:30 p.m.<br \/>\nDampeer Room<br \/>\nKelvin Smith Library<br \/>\nCase Western Reserve University<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0a304e;\">Dear Colleagues:<\/p>\n<p><strong>What the Heck is Going On?<\/strong>\u00a0And what will happen on November 8, 2016? Most attention now is focused on the contests for the Republican and Democratic nominations. Conventional wisdom says Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic candidate \u2013 but why is that? The GOP contest looks like a free-for-all. Could the party really get Trumped and, if not, who might win the nomination? What should we look for through the early stages of primaries and caucuses? Could the result be unknown entering the convention in Cleveland? And, once the candidates are chosen, what party is more likely to win? How much will the candidates matter?<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile there is the small matter of Congress. How strong is the Republican \u201clock\u201d on the House, and why? Will the new campaign finance system give the GOP a huge advantage? Does the fact that Republicans are defending 24 of the 34 Senate seats at stake give the Democrats a good chance of recapturing the Senate?<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s fun to talk about the horse race but who wins what will also shape our lives. So it\u2019s a great pleasure to welcome for our discussion\u00a0<strong>Paul Herrnson, author of\u00a0<em>Congressional Elections: Campaigning at Home and in Washington<\/em>\u00a0(7th ed. 2015.) and simply one of the nation\u2019s leading experts on elections, campaigns, polling, and campaign finance.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>All best regards,<br \/>\nJoe White<br \/>\nLuxenberg Family Professor of Public Policy and Director, Center for Policy Studies<\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #0a304e; font-size: medium;\">About Our Guest<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0a304e;\"><strong>Paul Herrnson<\/strong>\u00a0earned his PhD at the University of Wisconsin-Madison and his BA at Binghamton University. He is a Professor of Political Science at the University of Connecticut. His primary interests include political parties and elections, money and politics, public opinion, and voting technology and ballot design. He teaches courses on Congressional Elections and other aspects of American politics.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #0a304e; font-size: medium;\">Where We Meet<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0a304e;\">The Friday Public Affairs Lunch convenes each Friday when classes are in session, from 12:30 p.m. to 1:30 p.m. Our programs are open to all and no registration is required. We usually meet in the Dampeer Room of Kelvin Smith Library. The Dampeer Room is on the second floor of the library. If you get off the elevators, turn right, pass the first bank of tables, and turn right again. Occasionally we need to use a different room; that will always be announced in the weekly e-mails.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #0a304e; font-size: medium;\">Parking Possibilities<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0a304e;\">The most convenient parking is the lot underneath Severance Hall. We regret that it is not free. From that lot there is an elevator up to street level (labeled as for the Thwing Center); it is less than 50 yards from that exit to the library entrance. You can get from the Severance garage to the library without going outside. Near the entry gates &#8211; just to the right if you were driving out &#8211; there is a door into a corridor. Walk down the corridor and there will be another door. Beyond that door you&#8217;ll find the entrance to an elevator which goes up to an entrance right inside the doors to Kelvin Smith Library.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Friday Lunch Upcoming Topics and Speakers:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>November 13: Why Virtual Schools are Growing So Fast, and What it Might Mean for the Future of Public Education.<\/strong>\u00a0With Peter Robertson, Senior Vice President of School Operations, Connections Education.<\/p>\n<p><strong>November 20: Integrating the Inner City Through Mixed-Income Development.<\/strong>\u00a0With Mark Joseph, Associate Professor at MSASS and Director, National Initiative on Mixed-Income Communities; Taryn Gross, Program Manager for the Initiative, and Emily Miller, Project Coordinator for the Initiative. Co-sponsored with the Schubert Center for Child Studies.\u00a0<strong>***Alternate Location: Mandel Community Studies Center Room 115, 11402 Bellflower Road***<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>November 27: Thanksgiving Break<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>December 4: Making Clean Energy Work.<\/strong>\u00a0With Walter Money, Whole House Energy Solutions.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Paul Herrnson, Ph.D. &#8211; Professor of Political Science at the University of Connecticut<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Friday November 6, 2015<br \/>\n12:30-1:30 p.m.<br \/>\nDampeer Room<br \/>\nKelvin Smith Library<br \/>\nCase Western Reserve University<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Dear Colleagues:<\/p>\n<p><strong>What the Heck is Going On?<\/strong>\u00a0And what will happen on November 8, 2016? Most attention now is focused on the contests for the Republican and Democratic nominations. Conventional wisdom says Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic candidate \u2013 but why is that? The GOP contest looks like a free-for-all. Could the party really get Trumped and,<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/2015\/11\/06\/a-year-away-from-the-2016-election\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading&#8230; <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">A Year Away from the 2016 Election\u2026.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/698"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=698"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/698\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":699,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/698\/revisions\/699"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=698"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=698"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=698"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}