{"id":719,"date":"2016-02-26T13:02:37","date_gmt":"2016-02-26T13:02:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/?p=719"},"modified":"2024-06-07T13:03:04","modified_gmt":"2024-06-07T13:03:04","slug":"update-on-the-presidential-campaign","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/2016\/02\/26\/update-on-the-presidential-campaign\/","title":{"rendered":"Update on the Presidential Campaign"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n\n
<\/td>\n\n

Justin Buchler, Ph.D. – Associate Professor of Political Science at Case Western Reserve University<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n\n\n
Friday February 26, 2016
\n12:30-1:30 p.m.<\/strong><\/span>
\n***Alternate Location: Room LL06***<\/span><\/strong>
\nKelvin Smith Library
\nCase Western Reserve University<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Dear Colleagues:<\/p>\n

Trump to Political Scientists: “Drop Dead”<\/strong>\u00a0Or something of the sort\u2026 This is how Justin Buchler satirizes the political science discipline’s continual expectation that Donald Trump’s campaign would collapse. And while Trump (so far) has not in fact copied the New York Daily News’ paraphrase of President Ford’s response to New York City’s troubles in 1975, it’s easy to imagine him using that language.<\/p>\n

The whole pundit community \u2013 perhaps in part because (shhhh!) many read the political science literature – has kept waiting for party “elites” to unite behind an opponent and crush The Donald. Or have assumed the Trump balloon would lose altitude once the press turned critical attention on his record and statements (see: Cain, Herman; Gingrich, Newt; Perry, Rick). Meanwhile Trump has led in the national Republican polls for a very long time, and easily won the two primaries, in very different states, conducted so far.<\/p>\n

So what’s going on? Can Trump be stopped? By whom, or what?<\/strong>\u00a0And meanwhile, is Hillary Clinton still a lock for the Democratic nomination, as many Democrats “feel the Bern?” And, what, if anything, does the campaign so far tell us about which party will win in November? Join us as Professor Buchler shares his take on the campaign. And you might check out his blog, at\u00a0http:\/\/theunmutual.blogspot.com\/<\/a>.<\/p>\n

All best regards,
\nJoe White
\nLuxenberg Family Professor of Public Policy and Director, Center for Policy Studies<\/span>
\n <\/p>\n

\n

About Our Guest<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Justin Buchler<\/strong>\u00a0studies elections, with an emphasis on legislative elections. He has written extensively about the effects of competitive elections on political institutions. His recently published book,\u00a0Hiring and Firing Public Officials: Rethinking the Purpose of Elections<\/em>\u00a0(Oxford University Press), argues that we should think of elections as employment decisions rather than as markets. Thus, competitive elections do not indicate a healthy democracy, as market analogies suggest. Instead, they indicate a failure of democracy because competitive elections are a poor method of making employment decisions regarding public officials. Consequently, they create perverse incentives and unrepresentative outcomes. His published papers on the topic include \u201cThe Social Sub-Optimality of Competitive Elections\u201d (in\u00a0Public Choice<\/em>), which received the 2007 Gordon Tullock Prize. His other papers on the topic focus on redistricting.<\/p>\n

Currently, Justin Buchler writes about the use of spatial models to study elections. His papers address the role of party influence on candidate position-taking, as well as the impact of valence characteristics, such as competence and honesty.<\/span><\/p>\n

Where We Meet<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

The Friday Public Affairs Lunch convenes each Friday when classes are in session, from 12:30 p.m. to 1:30 p.m. The lower level LL06 classroom is located in the basement of Kelvin Smith Library directly across the lobby from the main elevators.<\/span><\/p>\n

Parking Possibilities<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

The most convenient parking is the lot underneath Severance Hall. We regret that it is not free. From that lot there is an elevator up to street level (labeled as for the Thwing Center); it is less than 50 yards from that exit to the library entrance. You can get from the Severance garage to the library without going outside. Near the entry gates – just to the right if you were driving out – there is a door into a corridor. Walk down the corridor and there will be another door. Beyond that door you’ll find the entrance to an elevator which goes up to an entrance right inside the doors to Kelvin Smith Library.<\/span><\/p>\n

Schedule of Friday Lunch Upcoming Topics and Speakers:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

March 4: Why Is There a Heroin Epidemic?<\/strong>\u00a0With Lee Hoffer, Associate Professor of Anthropology at Case Western Reserve University.<\/p>\n

March 11: Spring Break
\n<\/strong>
\nMarch 18: E-Cigarettes: Problem or Solution?\u00a0<\/strong>With Scott H. Frank MD MS, Associate Professor and Director, Master of Public Health Program, and Director of Health for the City of Shaker Heights.<\/p>\n

March 25: Hosting the Super B**l of Politics.<\/strong>\u00a0With Brittany Williams, Senior Project Manager, Cleveland 2016 Host Committee.<\/p>\n

April 1: The Obama Administration and the Future of U.S. Manufacturing.<\/strong>\u00a0With Susan Helper, Frank Tracy Carlton Professor of Economics and, former Chief Economist, U.S. Department of Commerce.<\/p>\n

April 8: Citizenship in a Divided America.<\/strong>\u00a0With Mary Romero, Professor of Justice Studies and Social Inquiry, Arizona State University. Cosponsored by Academic Careers in Engineering and Science (ACES) program.\u00a0Room to be determined.<\/strong><\/p>\n

April 15: Money, Happiness, and Redistribution.<\/strong>\u00a0With David Clingingsmith, Associate Professor of Economics.\u00a0***Alternate Location: Baker-Nord Center, Room 206, Clark Hall***<\/strong><\/p>\n

April 22: Germany, Asylum and the Future of Europe.<\/strong>\u00a0With Kenneth F. Ledford, Associate Professor of History and Law and Chair, Department of History at Case Western Reserve University.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Justin Buchler, Ph.D. – Associate Professor of Political Science at Case Western Reserve University<\/strong><\/p>\n

Friday February 26, 2016
\n12:30-1:30 p.m.<\/strong>
\n***Alternate Location: Room LL06***<\/strong>
\nKelvin Smith Library
\nCase Western Reserve University<\/strong><\/p>\n

Dear Colleagues:<\/p>\n

Trump to Political Scientists: “Drop Dead”<\/strong>\u00a0Or something of the sort\u2026 This is how Justin Buchler satirizes the political science discipline’s continual expectation that Donald Trump’s campaign would collapse. And while Trump (so far) has not in fact copied the New York Daily News’ paraphrase of President Ford’s response to New York City’s troubles in 1975,<\/p>\n

Continue reading… Update on the Presidential Campaign<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/719"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=719"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/719\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":720,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/719\/revisions\/720"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=719"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=719"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/artsci.case.edu\/fridaylunch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=719"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}